Last Week’s Summary S&P 500 Index rose 0.35% International Equities fell -1.83% Emerging Markets fell 0.41% U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield rose to 3.80% Initial Jobless Claims fell to 229k New Home Sales rose 683k Existing Home Sales fell to 4.28 million PCE Core Deflator rose to 0.4% What to Watch for This Week T, 5/30/23 …
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Download Market Snaphot here. Last Week’s Summary: ▪ S&P 500 Index fell 0.24% ▪ International Equities fell 0.74% ▪ Emerging Markets fell 0.86% ▪ U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield rose to 3.46% ▪ CPI fell to 4.9%; Core CPI fell to 5.5% ▪ Initial Jobless Claims rose to 264k ▪ PPI fell to 2.3%; Core PPI …
Security Brokers and Dealers; Margin Accounts at Brokers and Dealers; Asset, Level Entering the danger zone for margin debt. Historically, when margin debt has reached these levels, a subsequent stock market correction occurred. Margin debt could be extended from here, but it looks close to maxing out.
Here are some of the highlights of credit growth in 2020: During the first nine months of 2020, Total Credit in the US expanded by $6.4 trillion. The previous full-year record for Credit Growth was $5 trillion in 2007. Total Credit now amounts to $82 Trillion. It has increased 82 times in just 54 years. …
E-Commerce Bubble Compared to Other Bubbles: Chart The e-commerce bubble will likely continue to grow. However, it will reach a point in which it is unable to sustain the current growth rate of earnings and capital inflows, resulting in a significant short-term drawdown followed by sideways growth until e-commerce stock prices fully are reset. Source: …
E-Commerce Bubble Compared to Other Bubbles: Chart Read More »
2-Year Yield Curve In Historically Vulnerable Territory The 2-year yield curve continues to steepen. Historically, over the last twenty years, as the yield curve steepened, this coincided with a drop in equities. The below chart overlays the 2-year yield curve with the S&P 500. We are around the point in which equities began a multi-year …
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U.S. Equity Evaluations Continue To Climb To Historic Highs The S&P Price to Earnings Ratio is currently at historic highs, suggesting extremely rich valuations and a possibility of an asset pricing reset in the coming years. P/E ratios are likely to follow historic precedent and revert to their historical average of 15x earnings. If so, …
U.S. Equity Evaluations Continue To Climb To Historic Highs Read More »
Global Central Banks Continue to Flood the Markets with Liquidity Collectively, the assets of the U.S. Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank and the Bank of Japan rose from $7.2 trillion in March to a record $21.8 trillion in November. All three are also pushing their country’s fiscal policymakers for additional stimulus. The Fed’s Reserve …
Global Central Banks Continue to Flood the Markets with Liquidity Read More »
