Weekly Client Letter – August 12, 2024

The next few weeks will be important for markets to see if the Nasdaq 100 falls below its 200-Day Moving Average (DMA), like it did in 2022, which could mean more potential downside.

The 200 DMA is a key indicator that shows the index’s average closing price over the last 200 days, helping us understand market trends. If the Nasdaq stays above this level, like it did in early 2023, it could mean a more favorable environment.

With our RiskFirst® process, we will continue to monitor these trends closely and are prepared to adjust portfolio exposures when our risk framework models indicate it’s prudent.

Trend or Trouble

Weekly Client Letter - August 12, 2024
Source: Bloomberg, Redwood. Data as of 8/8/2024. Date range from 7/20/2020 – 8/8/2024.
  • We believe the preservation of capital is key to consistent, long-term investment success.
  • Our investment approach is grounded in economic theory and backed by quantitative analysis.
  • Managing drawdown risk is a pillar from which we build our portfolios.

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