Weekly Client Letter – March 24, 2025

Market corrections happen for many reasons, but their depth often depends on the broader economic backdrop. Over the past 50 years, when the S&P 500 declined by at least 10% without a recession, losses averaged around 16%.

However, when corrections occurred alongside a recession, the market typically fell nearly 40%. While it’s unclear how the current environment will unfold, history suggests that economic conditions can influence market outcomes.

We remain focused on implementing our RiskFirst® Process, prioritizing disciplined risk management and navigating uncertainty to help you stay on track to reach your long-term financial goals.

Mind the Backdrop

Weekly Client Letter – March 24, 2025
Source: Bloomberg, Redwood. Data as of 3/17/2025. Date Range from 1966 – 2025.
  • We believe the preservation of capital is key to consistent, long-term investment success.
  • Our investment approach is grounded in economic theory and backed by quantitative analysis.
  • Managing drawdown risk is a pillar from which we build our portfolios.

60-Second Breakdown: March 24, 2025

Redwood Senior Analyst Michael C. Sasaki, CFA® discusses recent market performance and explains this week’s chart.

Best Invest Advise EVER!

Bryan Bourgeois, CEO/Founder of Shorebreak Capital, discusses why 90% of investors fail and how to avoid these common investment mistakes with Conner Small, Partner at Redwood Investment Management, Shorebreak Capital’s dedicated asset manager.

Market Summary

Subscribe to Our Perspectives