Weekly Client Letter – May 13, 2024

It can be tempting to invest in the recent best-performing investments being heralded by media. Unfortunately, research demonstrates, that investing in recent top-performing assets leads to less-than-expected outcomes.

See the chart below, which illustrates sticking with a disciplined plan has historically outperformed chasing the most recent best-performing investments.

Shifting Allocations = Poor Results

Weekly Client Letter - May 13, 2024
Source: Bloomberg, Redwood. Data as of 5/3/2024. Date Range from 12/31/2004 – 4/30/2024.Cash is represented by the FTSE 3-Month T-bill Index, Bonds are represented by the Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate Bond Index, Global Bonds are represented by the Bloomberg Global Aggregate Index, Large Cap Value are represented by the Russell 1000 Value Index, Large Cap Growth is represented by the Russell 1000 Growth Index, Commodities are represented by the Bloomberg Commodity Index, International is represented by the MSCI EAFE Index, Small/Mid-Cap is represented by the Russell 2500 Index, and REITs are represented by the FTSE NAREIT All REITs Total Return Index. The Diversified Portfolio (Overweight Winners) ranks each asset class based on the previous calendar year performance and weighs them based on a fixed scale with the highest allocation going to the best performing asset class and the lowest allocation going to the worst performing.
  • We believe the preservation of capital is key to consistent, long-term investment success.
  • Our investment approach is grounded in economic theory and backed by quantitative analysis.
  • Managing drawdown risk is a pillar from which we build our portfolios.

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