Bryan

The Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate Bond Index, known for its stability and consistency, has seen an unusual uptick in volatility. Before 2020, the Index only had three negative calendar years since its inception. Recently the frequency of negative returns has increased significantly. In fact, the Index is on track to notch its third negative year in […]

Following a higher-than-expected consumer price index report last Wednesday, the Federal Reserve may reconsider anticipated rate cuts, potentially maintaining higher interest rates for longer than previously expected. This scenario could put pressure on stock market valuations and bond prices. Since the future market direction is unpredictable, we are prepared for any scenario. Our RiskFirst® approach

Stock prices and Federal Reserve interest rate cut expectations were moving together until recently. Now there is a divergence due to a change, in that market participants believe the Federal Reserve might postpone or slow the pace of interest rate reductions, but the stock market has continued up. The question for many is whether the

“Yield-Curve Inversion,” occurs when short-term bond yields surpass those of long-term bonds. This unusual pattern, exceeding over 630 days, marks the longest period of inversion since 1970, highlighting investor concerns about the near-term economic prospects. Historically, these inversions have often preceded economic recessions, though they are not foolproof indicators. At Redwood, we are vigilantly monitoring

In recent times, the surge in market performance has sparked a familiar wave of FOMO-fear of missing out-among investors, compelling many to rethink their strategies in pursuit of higher gains. Historical patterns reveal a tendency for households to shift significantly towards equity securities during these bullish phases, often driven by the allure of immediate returns.